Consumers Improve in August
I’ve never read so much about consumer confidence as I have in the recent past months. Or maybe it was always news that was there, I just have now reached an age where I actually care about things in the financial news because I know they can affect me and the prices I pay for things, my job security at the insurance company I work for, and the rates I pay for loans, including how things go in my business life, and also how my investment portfolio (although admittedly it’s no great shakes - yet), performs through the years.
Well, apparently in August consumer’s “mood” has improved which means good things for business in general, which in turn should mean better news for our flailing economy. Speaking of economy, I just read an interesting articles by supposed financial experts who claim that the economy is not showing signs of recession, and it’s rather just going through a contraction of sorts. They say there are plenty of variables that indicate recession, however, the economy has still grown over the past several months, which is counter to the actual definition of a recession.
A recession is, by definition, when the economy, or GDP, Gross Domestic Product, is down for several consecutive months, and they say that while the increased numbers are not the norm and are pretty dismal, they nonetheless have still been imrpoving by small margins, which means that by definition right now the economy is not in a recession. Hmm, interesting, but I wouldn’t give it too much credence yet, as recessions cannot even be validated until several months after they actually occur since the number can’t be gathered and validated until such time.
In August, our current month, consumer optimism has improved reportedly because of a drop in oil prices. While people are still watching their wallets because of the gas prices, it has been assumed that because of the national decrease in oil prices, which is most likely tied to the dramatic demand decreases for gasoline, their attitude about the economy is improving, which usually translates into consumer spending more money - which incidentally, as you guessed it, expands and improves the US economy.
Heck, even those overseas are coming over here to the US to reap the benefits of a down economy as well as spend their Euros, which are worth about double or more what the American dollar is currently. I think I’d be going over there to spend some money if I knew I could get twice the bang for my buck too! The American dollar will come back though.
I’ve just read too much from authors and experts who I know have a good track record with things like this that say they have the utmost confidence in the American dollar while it is not performing now, they say it will come back. It may be a longer road than we’d like, but the US will be on the recovery trail soon, I do believe that. It’s been through these hard times before, and the free enterprise system we are built on will surely come swinging back with a vengeance once the comeback has begun.